Monday, November 14, 2022

The Economy, Stupid.

 

The political debates of the day consist of politicians discussing costs with one another. Electoral campaigns focus on employment rates, GDP growth, and inflation. Geopolitics has mostly evolved from war to the imposing of tariffs. Healthcare research is motivated by the ability to have exclusive market patents. What thread do these all have in common? In the words of wise philosopher Bill Clinton, “It’s the economy, stupid.” Climate Change, much like every other international problem, will likely be addressed only when it’s economically advantageous to do so both personally and by nation states. Robinson devotes much of Ministry for the Future supporting this prediction.

On geopolitical level, one of the strongest arguments made for Carbon Coin was how it would eventually lead to more stable currencies on a country-wide level. There are several examples in the book: one such example is when the Arabian government decided to decarbonize based off the fact “…their refusal to sell their oil reserves for burning, deserved compensation in the form of CCCB’s carbon coin… the Arabic claim was estimated at about a trillion carbon coins.” (Robinson, 342) The fact that the government announced their intent to claim the money alongside their intent to decarbonize supports the idea that the government only decarbonized because of the money. Arabia’s government probably did the math and realized they would make more (or at least the same) money by leaving the carbon in the ground rather than selling it. What was their rationale behind it? “It’s the economy, stupid.”

On a personal level, one of strongest reasons for the individual to address climate change was the economic benefit. There’s a small story in the book about a couple of poor farmers who “… heard the rumors that the district council would be giving out money for carbon retention… this would be getting paid for what we had to do anyway to keep from starving.” (Robinson 400) At the end of the year, the farmers were given over 70,000 dollars – an amount that equaled “Almost two years of expenses, in fact.” (Robinson 401) This offer of money is what enticed the farmers to farm in an environmentally friendly manner in the first place. Given the fact that the farmers made an incredible profit with the carbon coin being given to them, it would make sense that they would continue to farm without burning lots of carbon. Their incentive here is monetary. In other words, what was their rationale behind it? “It’s the economy, stupid”.

Robinson writes his characters to be motivated at least partly by economic gain – which is not an unreasonable motivation. These motivations eventually cause the human race to tackle the problems of climate change and start reversing its effects. “It’s the economy, stupid” is the answer Robinson proposes to the timeless question: “What will it take to get people to act?”.

1 comment:

  1. I agree; most people in the Ministry for the Future are motivated to support carbon sequestration only when economic gain is involved. However, there is another motivation present throughout the novel, the Ministry’s, which is based on preserving their reputation.
    One common theme throughout the novel is that people don’t feel obligated to solve other peoples’ problems unless it benefits them. At a bar shortly before Frank kidnaps Mary, the Ministry discusses Dr. Slawek’s plan to pump water out from under glaciers. When asked, “why didn’t you bring this up at the session today? It was about this acceleration of glaciers” (Robinson 82), Slawek “quickly shook his head,” and says, “Not my thing” (Robinson 83). Slawek stands nothing to gain from proposing this idea besides, “hate mail, rocks through window” (Robinson 83) which seems to deter him from wanting to help.
    It isn’t until Frank kidnaps Mary that this inactivity changes. She tells him, “We’re doing what we can” (Robinson 96), and Frank spends the evening shouting at her that the Ministry isn’t doing enough. The next day as a result, Mary tells Badim, “We’re charged with representing the people and animals of the future, in effect to save the biosphere on their behalf, and we’re not managing to do it” (Robinson 109). Frank’s acknowledgement that he and the Children of Kali don’t believe that the Ministry is working as hard as possible scared Mary into realizing people are noticing the Ministry’s ineffectiveness. In an effort to preserve the Ministry’s reputation, she begins working as quickly as possible to implement ideas which is implied two chapters later when the glacial water pumping begins.

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